AI is no longer an emerging concept—it’s an inevitability. Yet, for engineering leaders and SREs responsible for the reliability of complex systems, the most challenging part of adopting AI isn’t the tooling.
It’s the uncertainty.
We’re used to determinism. A script executes. A metric crosses a threshold. A test passes or fails. But GenAI, LLMs, and adaptive agents don’t play by those rules. The same input might yield multiple outputs. And while this flexibility unlocks massive value, it disrupts the predictable foundations our systems were built on.
When Incident Response Meets Non-Determinism
In traditional incident response, we lean on consistent patterns: symptom → log → dashboard → fix. But what happens when that chain is no longer linear? AI-driven systems introduce fuzziness. The same issue might present itself differently each time—making it harder to encode rigid playbooks or automate away risk.
This isn’t a failure of AI. It’s a shift in how we need to think about system behavior.
Why Observability Alone Isn’t Enough
You can have best-in-class telemetry—OpenTelemetry, eBPF, Grafana dashboards, Prometheus metrics—and still get stuck. Why? Because observability shows you what changed. It doesn’t always show you why.
That's where causal reasoning comes in.
Causal AI introduces a fundamentally different layer to your observability stack. It lets you model not just metrics, but the relationships between system events, service dependencies, and behavioral shifts. It's how you move from detection to understanding—even in an environment where AI systems add non-deterministic behaviors.
Rethinking AI’s Role in SRE
We’ve seen two traps in AI adoption for reliability:
- Over-promising automation: “Let AI resolve everything” leads to brittle setups and broken trust.
- Under-utilizing potential: “Just use AI to summarize logs” leaves massive value on the table.
The real value lies in empowerment. AI as a supporting teammate, not a decision-maker. A system that works alongside humans, giving them enhanced visibility, reasoning, and recommendations—especially when systems behave in unpredictable ways.
At NOFire AI, we’re not building a black box that acts without oversight. We're building Agentic AI—modular AI agents that replicate SRE roles (on-call, IC, resolver) and offer transparent, traceable insights. They don’t replace your team—they scale it.
Managing Uncertainty Is the New Advantage
The organizations thriving in this shift are the ones not waiting for “perfect” AI. They’re not afraid of uncertainty—they’re operationalizing it. Here’s what that looks like:
- Data-readiness: Investing in OpenTelemetry, standardizing signals, and correlating across environments.
- Contextual modeling: Mapping out service dependencies and CI/CD events in a knowledge graph.
- Resilience-by-design: Using Causal AI to explore what-if scenarios, simulate changes, and anticipate failures before users feel them.
It’s Not About Perfect Answers. It’s About Better Questions.
LLMs can hallucinate. Dashboards can overwhelm. Rules-based systems can’t keep up.
What we need now is not a silver bullet, but a better framework for navigating uncertainty—one where AI enables faster feedback loops, context-aware decisions, and actionable intelligence.
That’s the future of reliability. And it won’t be built on certainty. It’ll be built on systems—and teams—that are designed to evolve.
Want to see what it looks like to operationalize this thinking in incident response? Let’s talk about how NOFire AI helps reliability teams.