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Vibe Coding: How We Lost Ownership of Production

Shift reliability left with operational knowledge and causal AI — prevent incidents before they ship.

Chris Overton

Chris Overton

CTO

5 min read
Vibe Coding: How We Lost Ownership of Production

We’re shipping faster than ever — but understanding less than ever.

The Rise of Vibe Coding

A developer makes a small change to the payment service at the end of the day and doesn’t realize that five other systems will feel it first.

That’s modern software development in a nutshell: continuous delivery, continuous change, and, too often, continuous confusion.

We’ve optimized for speed, not understanding. Code moves quickly, but knowledge lags behind.

“Ownership” used to mean understanding how a system behaves in production. Now, it often just means being the one who gets paged when something breaks

The Ownership Drift

After every major incident, we do what seems reasonable: hold retrospectives, add review steps, repeat “you build it, you own it.”

But responsibility, control, and knowledge don’t always line up. And when they don’t, ownership starts to drift.

The people accountable for a service often aren’t the ones who truly understand how it works. The ones who do? They’re busy firefighting or they’ve already left the team.

When mandate, knowledge, and accountability fall out of sync, reliability becomes a cycle of escalation instead of prevention.

The Visibility Trap

When ownership breaks, our instinct is to add more visibility.

Dashboards, alerts, logs, traces, AI summaries — all in the name of understanding. But more data doesn’t always lead to more clarity. It often just means more information spread across more dashboards.

Visibility tells us what failed. It rarely tells us why.

At 2 a.m., the on-call engineer still ends up asking: “Okay… but what actually changed?”

That’s the paradox of observability: the more we instrument, the less we seem to understand. We’ve hit the limits of reactive observability.

The next phase of reliability isn’t just about seeing problems faster, it’s about understanding systems deeply enough to prevent outages in the first place.

The Reasoning Gap

Somewhere along the way, we didn’t just lose visibility. We lost our reasoning.

AI can summarize logs and detect anomalies, but most tools still recognize patterns rather than understanding the complex relationships within systems. That’s why so many post-mortems sound the same, they describe symptoms, not causes.

Causal intelligence goes deeper. It analyzes how services interact and where risk is forming before something breaks. It’s the difference between knowing that something failed and knowing why it failed. Even better, it’s possible to know that things are going to break . . . before they break.

From Vibe Code to Causal Code

The answer isn’t another dashboard.

It’s bringing understanding directly into the way we build and operate software.

That’s what we’re working on at NOFire AI, making reliability explainable and embedded at every step of engineering.

  • In the IDE: connecting code to its real production context
  • In CI/CD: surfacing risk and blast radius before deployment
  • In production: tracing cause and effect automatically, not through manual RCA

Once you understand causality, prevention becomes possible. That’s how reliability shifts left, from post-mortem learning to pre-release confidence.

Every change, whether it’s code or config, can be evaluated for risk before it hits production.

This is how we shift from chaos to clarity. From firefighting to foresight.

The Future of Reliability Is Shared Understanding

Reliability isn’t just about monitoring and detection anymore. It’s about understanding systems well enough to prevent incidents in the first place.

When developers and SREs share the same context, reliability stops being a function — it becomes a shared culture. Reliability isn’t a title or a team.

It’s something the entire organization understands together — and that shared understanding is what truly scales.

Live Demo: See NOFire AI reason through real production data, no scripts, no perfect scenarios.

Ready to experience faster incident resolution?

See how NOFire AI can help your team spend less time fighting fires and more time building features.